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Assessment of polygenic risk score performance in East Asian populations for ten common diseases

Polygenic risk score (PRS) uses genetic variants to assess disease susceptibility. While PRS performance is well-studied in Europeans, its accuracy in East Asians is less explored. This study evaluated PRSs for ten diseases in the Health Examinees (HEXA) cohort (n = 55,870) in Korea. Single-population PRSs were constructed using PRS-CS, LDpred2, and Lassosum based on East Asian GWAS summary statistics (sample sizes: 51,442–341,204), while cross-population PRSs were developed using PRS-CSx and CT-SLEB by integrating European and East Asian GWAS data. PRS-CS consistently outperformed other single-population methods across key metrics, including the likelihood ratio test (LRT), odds ratio per standard deviation (perSD OR), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and area under the curve (AUC). Cross-population PRSs further improved predictive performance, with average increases of 1.08-fold (LRT), 1.07-fold (perSD OR), and 1.15-fold (NRI) across seven diseases with statistical significance, and a 1.01-fold improvement in AUC. Differences in R² between single- and cross-population PRSs were statistically significant for five diseases, showing an average increase of 1.13%. Cross-population PRSs achieved 87.8% of the predictive performance observed in European PRSs. These findings highlight the benefits of integrating European GWAS data while underscoring the need for larger East Asian datasets to improve prediction accuracy.

Genetic analysis of a Yayoi individual from the Doigahama site provides insights into the origins of immigrants to the Japanese Archipelago

Mainland Japanese have been recognized as having dual ancestry, originating from indigenous Jomon people and immigrants from continental East Eurasia. Although migration from the continent to the Japanese Archipelago continued from the Yayoi to the Kofun period, our understanding of these immigrants, particularly their origins, remains insufficient due to the lack of high-quality genome samples from the Yayoi period, complicating predictions about the admixture process. To address this, we sequenced the whole nuclear genome of a Yayoi individual from the Doigahama site in Yamaguchi prefecture, Japan. A comprehensive population genetic analysis of the Doigahama Yayoi individual, along with ancient and modern populations in East Asia and Northeastern Eurasia, revealed that the Doigahama Yayoi individual, similar to Kofun individuals and modern Mainland Japanese, had three distinct genetic ancestries: Jomon-related, East Asian-related, and Northeastern Siberian-related. Among non-Japanese populations, the Korean population, possessing both East Asian-related and Northeastern Siberian-related ancestries, exhibited the highest degree of genetic similarity to the Doigahama Yayoi individual. The analysis of admixture modeling for Yayoi individuals, Kofun individuals, and modern Japanese respectively supported a two-way admixture model assuming Jomon-related and Korean-related ancestries. These results suggest that between the Yayoi and Kofun periods, the majority of immigrants to the Japanese Archipelago originated primarily from the Korean Peninsula.

Consensus on the key characteristics of metabolism disruptors

Metabolism-disrupting agents (MDAs) are chemical, infectious or physical agents that increase the risk of metabolic disorders. Examples include pharmaceuticals, such as antidepressants, and environmental agents, such as bisphenol A. Various types of studies can provide evidence to identify MDAs, yet a systematic method is needed to integrate these data to help to identify such hazards. Inspired by work to improve hazard identification of carcinogens using key characteristics (KCs), we developed 12 KCs of MDAs based on our knowledge of processes underlying metabolic diseases and the effects of their causal agents: (1) alters function of the endocrine pancreas; (2) impairs function of adipose tissue; (3) alters nervous system control of metabolic function; (4) promotes insulin resistance; (5) disrupts metabolic signalling pathways; (6) alters development and fate of metabolic cell types; (7) alters energy homeostasis; (8) causes inappropriate nutrient handling and partitioning; (9) promotes chronic inflammation and immune dysregulation in metabolic tissues; (10) disrupts gastrointestinal tract function; (11) induces cellular stress pathways; and (12) disrupts circadian rhythms. In this Consensus Statement, we present the logic that revealed the KCs of MDAs and highlight evidence that supports the identification of KCs. We use chemical, infectious and physical agents as examples to illustrate how the KCs can be used to organize and use mechanistic data to help to identify MDAs.

Multiple long-term conditions as the next transition in the global diabetes epidemic

Several transitions, or new patterns and dynamics in the contributors and health outcomes, have altered the character and burden of the multi-decade, worldwide growth in prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM). These changes have led to different needs for prevention and care. These dynamics have been driven by diverse demographic, socio-economic, behavioural, and health system response factors. In this Perspective, we describe these transitions and how their attributes have set the stage for multimorbidity, or multiple long-term conditions (MLTCs), to be the next major challenge in the diabetes epidemic. We also describe how the timing and character of these stages differ in high-, middle-, and low-income countries. These challenges call for innovation and a stronger focus on MLTCs across the spectrum of cause, effectiveness, and implementation studies to guide prevention and treatment priorities.

Anthropogenic sulfate-climate interactions suppress dust activity over East Asia

Observational evidences indicate a significant decline in dust storm frequencies over the East Asian arid-semiarid region during recent decades, which creates a strong contrast with a great increase in sulfate emissions over monsoonal Asia. However, the causes for decline of dust activities are still controversial. Through conducting a set of idealized sensitivity experiments of regional aerosol perturbations, here we show that anthropogenic sulfate aerosols over monsoonal Asia remarkably suppress the regional dust activities over East Asia. Southward shift of Asian westerly jet stream induced by sulfate aerosols results in increasing precipitation and weakening surface wind speeds over the arid-semiarid region, thereby suppressing local dust emission fluxes. Further, the latest Sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project simulations indicate that anthropogenic aerosols partly drive the recent weakening in regional dust activities and that future change of regional dust activities will likely depend on emissions scenarios of Asian anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases.

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