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Escalation of caldera unrest indicated by increasing emission of isotopically light sulfur

Calderas are depressions formed by some of the largest volcanic eruptions. Their long-lived inter-eruptive periods are occasionally interrupted by phases of unrest, in which escalating seismicity, ground deformation and gas emissions raise concerns of potential volcano reawakening. However, interpretation of such physico-chemical signals is complicated by few examples of monitored unrest that culminated into eruption and by our fragmentary understanding of the drivers and timescales of caldera reactivation. Here we show that multi-decadal gas observations at the restless Campi Flegrei caldera in Italy record an unprecedented increase in isotopically light sulfur release from fumaroles since 2018. We then use hydrothermal gas equilibria and numerical simulations of magmatic degassing to propose that such a change in sulfur emissions results from decompression-driven degassing of mafic magma at ≥6 km depth, along with some extent of sulfur remobilization from hydrothermal minerals. Examination of a global dataset indicates that, despite the diversity in eruptive behaviour and tectonic setting, increasing sulfur output may be a common process during unrest escalation at calderas generally. Hence, our observations and models of sulfur behaviour may inform interpretations of unrest and hazard assessment at reawakening calderas and hydrothermal active volcanoes worldwide.

Genesis and timing of KREEP-free lunar Mg-suite magmatism indicated by the first norite meteorite Arguin 002

There is ongoing debate about whether lunar magnesian suite (Mg-suite) magmatism was a global, nearly synchronous event with a genetic link to potassium, rare-earth element and phosphorus components (KREEP). Arguin 002, the first whole-rock meteorite classified as a lunar norite, offers a unique opportunity to explore the genesis and timing of Mg-suite rocks. Here we investigated the petrology, mineralogy, geochemistry, and chronology of Arguin 002, revealing it to be an evolved, KREEP-free Mg-suite rock with chemical similarities to atypical Apollo-15 Fe-norites. It likely formed through plutonic magmatism originating from low-degree partial melting of a deep, KREEP-free mantle source and has a 207Pb/206Pb age of 4341.5  ± 9.3 Ma. The potential source of Arguin 002 is within the South Pole-Aitken basin, near the Chang’e-6 landing site. These findings indicate that Mg-suite magmatism was a global and nearly synchronous event, potentially driven by rapid global mantle overturn.

Past hydroclimate extremes in Europe driven by Atlantic jet stream and recurrent weather patterns

The jet stream over the Atlantic–European sector is relevant for weather and climate in Europe. It generates temperature extremes and steers moisture and flood-propelling weather systems to Europe or facilitates the development of atmospheric blocks, which can lead to drought. Ongoing climate change may alter the jet characteristics, affecting weather extremes. However, little is known about the past interannual-to-decadal variability of the jet stream. Here we analyse the strength, tilt and latitude of the Atlantic–European jet from 1421 to 2023 in an ensemble of monthly and daily reconstructions of atmospheric fields. We compare the variability of these jet indices with blocking frequency and cyclonic activity data and with drought and flood reconstructions in Europe. Summer drought is enhanced in Central Europe in periods with a poleward-shifted jet. An equatorward-shifted jet associated with decreased blocking leads to frequent floods in Western Europe and the Alps, particularly in winter. Recurrent weather patterns causing floods often characterize an entire season, such that an association between peak discharge and jet indices is seen on seasonal or even annual scales. Jet strength and tilt are significantly influenced by volcanic eruptions. Our 600-year perspective shows that recent changes in the jet indices are within the past variability and cannot be drivers of increasing flood and drought frequency.

Persistence of davemaoite at lower-mantle conditions

The lower mantle occupies over half of Earth’s volume, and accordingly, its mineralogy is crucial in determining the structure and dynamics of Earth. Davemaoite, the calcium silicate perovskite, was believed to coexist with bridgmanite in the lower mantle and is considered essential for understanding the chemical evolution and dynamics of Earth’s lower mantle. However, the presence of davemaoite is challenged due to the potential for high calcium silicate solubility in bridgmanite. Here we use an ultrahigh-pressure multi-anvil technique to show experimentally that the calcium solubility in bridgmanite is insufficient to eliminate davemaoite under mantle conditions, including typical mantle pressure, temperature and chemical compositions. We conclude that davemaoite has been stable in Earth’s lower mantle since its formation. Due to the limited calcium solubility in bridgmanite, davemaoite-enriched domains are expected at the core–mantle boundary. These domains could serve as the principal reservoir for incompatible elements in the lower mantle and may be the source for some ocean island basalts. Furthermore, our study offers an explanation for the observed large low-shear-wave-velocity provinces at the bottom of the lower mantle. These provinces may consist of davemaoite-enriched materials crystallized from basal magma ocean in early Earth history.

Influence of geographic isolation and the environment on gene flow among phenotypically diverse lizards

Lizards in the genus Anolis comprise hundreds of species that display a wide range of phenotypic variation closely related to their environment. One example is the Guadeloupean anole (Anolis marmoratus ssp.) that display extreme phenotypic variation, primarily in adult male color and pattern, with twelve described subspecies on the archipelago. Here we examine the relationship between phenotypic and genetic divergence among five subspecies on the two main islands and test the role of geographic isolation and the environment in reducing gene flow. We also examined two offshore island populations to assess the impact of complete geographic isolation on gene flow. We analyzed color phenotypes by measuring spectral reflectance and genomic diversity using SNPs. Genetic divergence was correlated with dorsolateral head and body color phenotypes, and slope and geographic distance were nearly equivalent at explaining this divergence. There was minimal genome-wide divergence at neutral loci among phenotypically disparate subspecies on the two main islands and their differentiation is consistent with a model of divergence with gene flow. Our spatial visualization of gene flow showed an impact of environmental features consistent with a hypothesis of ecologically driven divergence. Nonetheless, subspecies on the two main islands remain interconnected by substantial gene flow and their phenotypic variation is likely maintained at selection-gene flow equilibrium by divergent selection at loci associated with their color phenotypes. Greater isolation, such as inhabiting a remote island, may be required for reducing gene flow. Our findings highlight the role of the environment, adaptation, and geographic isolation on gene flow.

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