Methane emissions from thermokarst lakes must emphasize the ice-melting impact on the Tibetan Plateau
Thermokarst lakes, serving as significant sources of methane (CH4), play a crucial role in affecting the feedback of permafrost carbon c…
Tag: Projection and prediction
A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit
The temperature goals of the Paris Agreement are measured as 20-year averages exceeding a pre-industrial baseline. The calendar year of 2024 was an…
Twelve months at 1.5 °C signals earlier than expected breach of Paris Agreement threshold
June 2024 was the twelfth month in a row with global mean surface temperatures at least 1.5 °C above pre-industrial conditions, but it is not cl…
Intensified Atlantic multidecadal variability in a warming climate
The Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) is a basin-scale mode of sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the North Atlantic, exerting a gl…
Atmospheric circulation to constrain subtropical precipitation projections
Accurately assessing future precipitation changes presents one of the greatest challenges of climate change. In the tropics, changes in the Hadley …
Onshore intensification of subtropical western boundary currents in a warming climate
Subtropical western boundary currents (WBCs) refer to swift narrow oceanic currents that flow along the western edges of global subtropical ocean b…
Climate change alters the Indian Ocean Dipole and weakens its North Atlantic teleconnection
An important source of long range forecast skill for the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) comes from predictability of tropical rainfall. While the…
Anthropogenic sulfate-climate interactions suppress dust activity over East Asia
Observational evidences indicate a significant decline in dust storm frequencies over the East Asian arid-semiarid region during recent decades, wh…
Enhanced risk of hot extremes revealed by observation-constrained model projections
The increasing frequency of extreme hot events poses significant societal and scientific challenges due to their adverse impacts on human and natur…
Rare ice-base temperature measurements in Antarctica reveal a cold base in contrast with predictions
The Antarctic bed demonstrates complex behaviour comprising alternating warm- and cold-based areas. However, the distribution of warm- and cold-bas…